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Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Final
Feb 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Teslim Balogun Stadium
Ivory Coast national football team

Nigeria
1 - 2
Ivory Coast

Troost-Ekong (38')
Yusuf (28'), Nwabali (53'), Aina (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kessie (62'), Haller (81')
Aurier (54'), Fofana (87'), N'Dicka (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 0-1 Ivory Coast

Not only do the hosts have momentum heading into Sunday's final, Ivory Coast also have the physical edge on the Super Eagles, pointing to a marginal win for the Elephants, who have much more in the tank for the decider. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawIvory Coast
49.51%27.89%22.59%
Both teams to score 41.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.18%62.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.67%82.33%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.57%
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84%80.15%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 49.5%
    Ivory Coast 22.59%
    Draw 27.88%
NigeriaDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 15.37%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.04%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Ivory Coast

Nigeria
71.2%
Ivory Coast
28.8%
153
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
0-1
Nigeria
Troost-Ekong (55' pen.)
Nwabali (90+2')
Oct 9, 2020 7.30pm
Friendlies 1
Nigeria
0-1
Ivory Coast

Troost-Ekong (27'), Ajayi (87')
Bensebaini (6')
Benrahma (44')
Feb 3, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
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