Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Final

Feb 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Teslim Balogun Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 2
Ivory Coast

Troost-Ekong (38')
Yusuf (28'), Nwabali (53'), Aina (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kessie (62'), Haller (81')
Aurier (54'), Fofana (87'), N'Dicka (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

We said: Nigeria 0-1 Ivory Coast

Not only do the hosts have momentum heading into Sunday's final, Ivory Coast also have the physical edge on the Super Eagles, pointing to a marginal win for the Elephants, who have much more in the tank for the decider. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Ivory Coast
49.51%	27.89%	22.59%

Both teams to score 41.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.18%

62.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.67%

82.33%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.57%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95%

44.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.84%

80.15%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 49.5%

Ivory Coast 22.59%

Draw 27.88%

Nigeria	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 15.37% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 49.5%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.59%