Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 0Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-0 San Lorenzo
Tuesday, October 4 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, October 4 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Banfield
Wednesday, October 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, October 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
41.86% ( 0.06) | 27.56% ( -0.08) | 30.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( 0.28) | 57.47% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( 0.22) | 78.27% ( -0.22) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( 0.16) | 27.07% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( 0.21) | 62.45% ( -0.21) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.85% ( 0.16) | 34.15% ( -0.16) |