MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 22:22:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alcides Santos
Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Kayzer (5' pen.)
Britez (66'), Andrade (80'), Hercules (88')
Hercules (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luciano (13'), Welington (58'), Bobadilla (70'), Zubeldia (73'), Hercules (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Sao Paulo

While Sao Paulo will be looking to return to winning ways, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Fortaleza side who have been simply outstanding at home in recent weeks. Zubeldia's men have managed just one away win since the start of June and we see them struggling at the Estadio Castelao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.

Result
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
41.32% (-0.814 -0.81) 27.13% (0.343 0.34) 31.55% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-1.189 -1.19)55.59% (1.187 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.981 -0.98)76.75% (0.98100000000001 0.98)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)26.49% (0.975 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-1.315 -1.32)61.68% (1.313 1.31)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.282 -0.28)32.47% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.317 -0.32)69% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 41.31%
    Sao Paulo 31.55%
    Draw 27.13%
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.365 0.37)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
63.6%
Draw
21.2%
Sao Paulo
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 1am
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
1-2
Fortaleza
Silva (84')
Luciano (75'), Luciano (76'), Nestor (90+8')
Martin Lucero (66'), Machuca (80')
Pochettino (23'), Britez (51'), Martin Lucero (54')
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
1-2
Fortaleza
Rodriguez (79')
Diego (53'), Mendes (67'), Rodriguinho (88')
Welison (16'), Martin Lucero (53' pen.)
Titi (18'), Welison (27'), Ricardo (60'), Marinho (69'), Augusto (90+8'), Galhardo (90+3')
May 12, 2023 12am
Aug 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
0-1
Fortaleza

Reinaldo (58'), Patrick (89')
Capixaba (32')
Marcelo (28'), Miguel (51')
May 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pikachu (69')
Marcelo (15'), Pikachu (88')
Luciano (57')
Diego (16'), Gomes (45+2'), Luciano (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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