Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.