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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
22.29% | 21.79% | 55.92% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% | 31.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% | 67.47% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |