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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
22.29% | 21.79% | 55.92% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% | 31.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% | 67.47% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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