Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Hoffenheim
It is difficult to overlook Hoffenheim's injury crisis, and it would be surprising if the visitors managed to put up much resistance on Sunday. Leverkusen must ensure that Bayern do not extend the gap at the top of the table, and considering their good form in front of goal, they should be seen as strong favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
79.92% ( 0.03) | 12.59% ( -0.02) | 7.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
