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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Nsoki (77')
Geiger (28'), Brooks (36'), Akpoguma (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Frimpong (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 Buoyed by the arrival of a new manager, the Hoffenheim players are bound to up their game in order to impress Matarazzo, but they could struggle to claim all three points on Saturday. Although Bayer Leverkusen have lost each of their last two Bundesliga matches, they have won five of their previous seven, meaning that they will confident of avoiding defeat at the PreZero Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.22% (0.074000000000005 0.07) 23.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 30.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.052 0.05)41.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)64.01% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.22%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.97%
    Draw 23.81%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-0
B. Leverkusen

Baumgartner (89')

Wendell (81')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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