MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:05:15| >> :600:1299192:1299192:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Mirco Aghetoni
Freiburg logo

Osnabruck
0 - 4
Freiburg


Gyamfi (65'), Semic (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Holer (30'), Grifo (34'), Adamu (73', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between VfL Osnabruck and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Osnabruck

All competitions
Last Game: Osnabruck 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: VfL Osnabruck 1-3 Freiburg

 While Osnabruck have struggled for goals in competitive matches, Freiburg's leaky pre-season rearguard should gift the third-tier side a goal on Saturday. However, the Bundesliga outfit are not expected to suffer a first-round exit, and we are backing them to notch a victory in Lower Saxony. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL OsnabruckDrawFreiburg
37.28% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05) 24.35% (-0.126 -0.13) 38.37% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.14% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (0.601 0.6)42.59% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (0.59500000000001 0.6)64.99% (-0.593 -0.59)
VfL Osnabruck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.244 0.24)22.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (0.361 0.36)56.4% (-0.358 -0.36)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.354 0.35)22.17% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.52999999999999 0.53)55.57% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    VfL Osnabruck 37.28%
    Freiburg 38.37%
    Draw 24.35%
VfL OsnabruckDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.28%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.37%

How you voted: Osnabruck vs Freiburg

VfL Osnabruck
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Freiburg
100%
8
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Osnabruck
2-2
Freiburg
(Aggregate 2-2 | Freiburg win 3-2 on penalties)
Gugganig (90+7'), Klaas (108')
Kohler (53'), Simakala (86'), Kleinhansl (90+3'), Gugganig (115'), Kuhn (126')
Simakala (117')
Grifo (33'), Schlotterbeck (120')
Eggestein (34'), Kubler (76'), Gunter (86'), Grifo (90+4'), Schade (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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