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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena

Bayern
vs.
Holstein Kiel

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Friday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Bayern Munich 6-2 Holstein Kiel

Bayern have been outstanding in front of goal all season, and they should be confident of adding significantly to their tally on Saturday. However, while the visitors have been poor defensively in recent weeks, they have found form in the final third and may pose some problems for the Bavarians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.48%. A draw has a probability of 8.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 4.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.77%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it is 1-2 (1.51%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHolstein Kiel
86.48% (-0.599 -0.6) 8.75% (0.236 0.24) 4.76% (0.361 0.36)
Both teams to score 53.52% (2.114 2.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.44% (0.768 0.77)19.55% (-0.771 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.54% (1.098 1.1)37.46% (-1.099 -1.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.01% (0.039000000000001 0.04)2.98% (-0.0409 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.54% (0.14100000000001 0.14)13.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17% (2.157 2.16)44.83% (-2.159 -2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2% (1.68 1.68)80.8% (-1.682 -1.68)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 86.48%
    Holstein Kiel 4.76%
    Draw 8.75%
Bayern MunichDrawHolstein Kiel
3-0 @ 9.66% (-0.483 -0.48)
4-0 @ 8.48% (-0.391 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.449 -0.45)
3-1 @ 7.75% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 6.8% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 5.96% (-0.25 -0.25)
5-1 @ 4.78% (0.092 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.7% (-0.275 -0.28)
6-0 @ 3.49% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.215 0.22)
6-1 @ 2.8% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.73% (0.199 0.2)
5-2 @ 1.92% (0.147 0.15)
7-0 @ 1.75% (-0.059 -0.06)
7-1 @ 1.4% (0.037 0.04)
6-2 @ 1.12% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 86.48%
1-1 @ 3.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 1.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 8.75%
1-2 @ 1.51% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 4.76%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern and Holstein Kiel?

Bayern Munich
Draw
Holstein Kiel
Bayern Munich
100%
Draw
0.0%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Holstein Kiel
1-6
Bayern
Gigovic (82')
Rapp (89')
Musiala (1'), Kane (7', 43', 90+1'), Remberg (13' og.), Olise (65')
Palhinha (81')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Bayern
(Aggregate 2-2 | Holstein Kiel win 6-5 on penalties)
Bartels (37'), Wahl (90+5')
Meffert (45')
Gnabry (14'), Sane (47')
Sule (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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