MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:31:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Hlozek (40'), Amiri (86' pen.)
Hincapie (70'), Alonso (84'), Amiri (87'), Andrich (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szoboszlai (67'), Simakan (70'), Haidara (71'), Laimer (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 RB Leipzig

We expect Bayer Leverkusen to extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches in all competitions with a hard-fought victory over RB Leipzig, who look set to suffer a third defeat in four Bundesliga away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
37.55% (1.175 1.18) 24.17% (-0.107 -0.11) 38.27% (-1.065 -1.07)
Both teams to score 60.82% (0.479 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.592 0.59)41.71% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.594 0.59)64.11% (-0.59 -0.59)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (0.876 0.88)22.19% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (1.303 1.3)55.6% (-1.3 -1.3)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.264 -0.26)21.83% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.403 -0.4)55.05% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.56%
    RB Leipzig 38.27%
    Draw 24.16%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
67.9%
Draw
14.1%
RB Leipzig
17.9%
78
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')

Tapsoba (26')
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 19
RB Leipzig
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (51')
Kluivert (90'), Haidara (90+2')

Bellarabi (60'), Bailey (75')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (19')
Forsberg (14')
Klostermann (45'), Haidara (65'), Adams (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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