Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 2Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Augsburg
Leipzig have performed with far more control in each of their recent victories, with an additional defender at the expense of Silva helping them retain possession to a much higher level. As such, while Augsburg may be able to hang in the game at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday, we expect the hosts to take a giant step towards securing Champions League football for the fifth successive season with a vital victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
74.04% ( -0.08) | 15.68% ( 0.04) | 10.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
