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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Adamu (58', 61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boadu (45')
Balde (81'), Kwarteng (82'), Wittek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

 Despite a difficult start to the season, Freiburg have performed well in their opening two games of the Bundesliga, and if they perform as well as they did against Stuttgart on Saturday then they should be favourites. Given Bochum's poor away record, it would be surprising if they managed to earn any points at all this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
41.87% (0.395 0.39) 23.14% (0.154 0.15) 34.99% (-0.547 -0.55)
Both teams to score 64.38% (-0.726 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.06% (-0.894 -0.89)36.94% (0.896 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.88% (-0.977 -0.98)59.12% (0.979 0.98)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)18.15% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)49.12% (0.354 0.35)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.687 -0.69)21.35% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-1.073 -1.07)54.31% (1.075 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.87%
    VfL Bochum 34.99%
    Draw 23.14%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.61% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 41.87%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.99%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
95.8%
Draw
2.1%
VfL Bochum
2.1%
48
Head to Head
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1-2
Freiburg
Ordets (62')
Bernardo (32'), Masovic (45+4'), Losilla (82')
Eggestein (36'), Gregoritsch (53')
Hofler (34'), Eggestein (42'), Sallai (45+4'), Gulde (59'), Holer (74'), Gunter (83'), Kubler (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
VfL Bochum
Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')
Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
VfL Bochum
0-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (39'), Holer (51')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-0
VfL Bochum
Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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