Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
2 - 1
Marseille

Kamada (3'), Kolo (27')
Kolo (54'), Smolcic (57'), Ebimbe (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Guendouzi (22')
Tavares (25'), Veretout (40'), Tudor (72'), Suarez Charris (86')

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Marseille to remain in hunt for last-16 position

Eintracht Frankfurt record a 2-1 win over Marseille in the Champions League, with qualification from a tight Group D going to the final matchday.

Oct 26, 22:02

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille

Frankfurt clearly head into this match in superior form and we expect them to return to winning ways in Europe as a result. Deutsche Bank Park is likely to have a raucous atmosphere with this match representing a potentially do or die scenario in terms of the hosts' progression to the knockout stages, with Marseille not exactly looking like a team capable of riding much adversity at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Marseille
36.01% ( 0.05)	25.03% ( 0.02)	38.96% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.59% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.09)

45.84% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-0.09)

68.16% (

0.08)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.02)

24.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

-0.02)

59.51% (

0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

-0.07)

23.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

-0.11)

57.26% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 36.01%

Marseille 38.96%

Draw 25.03%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.01%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.96%