Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 1Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Augsburg
Even though Augsburg have fired blanks in both 4-0 road losses this season, they are backed to find the back of the net this weekend. However, Freiburg should nick Saturday's result to continue their strong start and extend their winning record against gameweek seven's opponents on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
46.1% ( 1.17) | 23.46% ( 0.02) | 30.44% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% ( -0.65) | 40.21% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.68) | 62.59% ( 0.68) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( 0.21) | 17.74% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.58% ( 0.36) | 48.42% ( -0.35) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -1.04) | 25.51% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( -1.45) | 60.35% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 46.1%
Augsburg 30.44%
Draw 23.46%
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.44% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg
Freiburg
89.7%Draw
8.6%Augsburg
1.7%58
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
1-2
Freiburg
Form Guide
