MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:40:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Augsburg

Even though Augsburg have fired blanks in both 4-0 road losses this season, they are backed to find the back of the net this weekend. However, Freiburg should nick Saturday's result to continue their strong start and extend their winning record against gameweek seven's opponents on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
46.1% (1.166 1.17) 23.46% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 30.44% (-1.178 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.653 -0.65)40.21% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.68 -0.68)62.59% (0.683 0.68)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.20899999999999 0.21)17.74% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.357 0.36)48.42% (-0.353 -0.35)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.044 -1.04)25.51% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-1.45 -1.45)60.35% (1.455 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.1%
    Augsburg 30.44%
    Draw 23.46%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.285 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
8.6%
Augsburg
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
2-1
Freiburg
Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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