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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-4 Freiburg

Greuther Furth are likely to pose a threat in the final third, having scored in eight of their last 11 league games; however, their defensive frailties could let them down once again against an in-form Freiburg outfit. The visitors will be strong favourites to come away with all three points on Saturday and few would be surprised to see them win convincingly at Sportpark Ronhof. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
26.97%23.98%49.04%
Both teams to score 56.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.22%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57%66.44%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48%49.53%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 26.97%
    Freiburg 49.05%
    Draw 23.98%
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 6.73%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.97%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.05%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Freiburg

Greuther Furth
13.0%
Draw
8.7%
Freiburg
78.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-1
Greuther Furth
Asta (20' og.), Hofler (39'), Grifo (79' pen.)
Leweling (74')
Green (41'), Christiansen (50')
May 11, 2013 2.30pm
Dec 8, 2012 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-0
Greuther Furth
Caligiuri (15')
Sorg (47'), Günter (85')

Kleine (8'), Asamoah (33'), Rahman (59'), Nehrig (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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