Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Sep 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Freiburg

Kalajdzic (71'), Wamangituka (81')
Didavi (25'), Wamangituka (44')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Petersen (8'), Sallai (26'), Grifo (48')
Holer (35'), Kubler (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
56.39%	20.89%	22.71%

Both teams to score 63.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.41%

34.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.47%

56.52%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.72%

12.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.98%

38.02%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28%

63.72%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 56.39%

Freiburg 22.71%

Draw 20.89%

Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.53% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.95% 5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.39%	1-1 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 5.83% 0-1 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.48% Total : 22.71%