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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Schalke

Freiburg
4 - 0
Schalke

Gregoritsch (7', 35'), Holer (52'), Ginter (82')
Keitel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Uronen (45+1'), Latza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Schalke 04

Having won eight of their 14 home league games this season – conceding just 12 goals along the way – Freiburg look set to strengthen their top-four bid with a comfortable victory over Schalke 04, who are on course to suffer yet another defeat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
43.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 32.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)43.92% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.055 -0.05)66.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)20.46% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)52.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.11% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.18%
    Schalke 04 32.38%
    Draw 24.43%
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Schalke

Freiburg
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Schalke 04
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Polter (18')
Grifo (45+1', 61')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 29
Freiburg
4-0
Schalke
Holer (7'), Sallai (22' pen.), Gunter (50', 74')
Santamaria (9'), Heintz (29')

Huntelaar (21')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Raman (19'), Serdar (83')
Sallai (50', 68')
Santamaria (36')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
2-2
Freiburg
Serdar (26'), Kutucu (80')
Kenny (61')
Petersen (54' pen.), Grifo (67' pen.)
Hofler (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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