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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Fullkrug (85')
Weiser (55'), Stark (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (17'), Lukebakio (44'), Serdar (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hertha Berlin

We can envisage an entertaining encounter at the Weserstadion on Friday night, especially if Hertha continue with the 4-2-2-2 system which they deployed for their win against Schalke last weekend. That would mean both teams playing with two out-and-out strikers, with a score draw arguably the most likely outcome given Bremen's drop-off in form in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
55.83% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.7%22.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 55.83%
    Hertha Berlin 22.47%
    Draw 21.7%
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 55.83%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin

Werder Bremen
56.4%
Draw
25.5%
Hertha Berlin
18.1%
149
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Werder Bremen
Selke (25')
Rekik (27'), Lazaro (77'), Ibisevic (90')
Pizarro (90')
Langkamp (61'), Bargfrede (72'), Klaassen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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