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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
16.04%21.93%62.02%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.35%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36%43.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.17%79.82%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64%15.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86%44.14%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 16.04%
    RB Leipzig 62.01%
    Draw 21.93%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 5.56%
2-1 @ 4.32%
2-0 @ 2.31%
3-1 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.04%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 12.55%
0-2 @ 11.76%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-3 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-4 @ 3.44%
1-4 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-5 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.18%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 62.01%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig

Mainz 05
15.7%
Draw
9.6%
RB Leipzig
74.7%
83
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
3-2
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')
Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
3-1
Mainz
Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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