DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Dortmund
Sunday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim

Both sides are likely to make plenty of changes given that they are performing strongly in the Bundesliga, with both managers also dealing with a significant amount of injuries at the moment. Dortmund clearly have greater squad depth to call upon, and we expect this to help them continue their excellent record against Hoffenheim in recent years, with the visitors woes in the DFB-Pokal set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.46% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
60.84% ( -2.62)	18.69% ( 0.74)	20.46% ( 1.88)

Both teams to score 68.12% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.23% (

-0.7)

26.76% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.81% (

-0.9)

47.18% (

0.9)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

-0.75)

8.76% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.9% (

-1.87)

30.09% (

1.87)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

1.19)

25.33% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

1.61)

60.11% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.84%

Hoffenheim 20.46%

Draw 18.69%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 4.69% Total : 60.84%	1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.69%	1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.22) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.46%