Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim
Both sides are likely to make plenty of changes given that they are performing strongly in the Bundesliga, with both managers also dealing with a significant amount of injuries at the moment. Dortmund clearly have greater squad depth to call upon, and we expect this to help them continue their excellent record against Hoffenheim in recent years, with the visitors woes in the DFB-Pokal set to continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.46% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
60.84% ( -2.62) | 18.69% ( 0.74) | 20.46% ( 1.88) |
Both teams to score 68.12% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.23% ( -0.7) | 26.76% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.81% ( -0.9) | 47.18% ( 0.9) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.23% ( -0.75) | 8.76% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.9% ( -1.87) | 30.09% ( 1.87) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( 1.19) | 25.33% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% ( 1.61) | 60.11% ( -1.61) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 4.69% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.22) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.46% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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