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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Dortmund

Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund could be missing a few key players through injury if they can not recover in time for this match, Terzic's side have real momentum on their side at present, as well as decent squad depth to cope with some absentees. Frankfurt have improved themselves in recent weeks, but they do not possess as much quality as they have done in recent years, and we can envisage the visitors claiming another narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
47.74% (0.168 0.17) 22.04% (0.158 0.16) 30.21% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 66.4% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (-0.971 -0.97)33.42% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.79% (-1.119 -1.12)55.21% (1.121 1.12)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.304 -0.3)14.55% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.589 -0.59)42.6% (0.592 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)22.29% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-1.014 -1.01)55.74% (1.015 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 47.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 30.21%
    Draw 22.04%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.087 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
20.0%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
67.5%
80
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-0
Frankfurt
Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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