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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
3 - 3
Dortmund

Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 6-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund could be missing a few key players through injury if they can not recover in time for this match, Terzic's side have real momentum on their side at present, as well as decent squad depth to cope with some absentees. Frankfurt have improved themselves in recent weeks, but they do not possess as much quality as they have done in recent years, and we can envisage the visitors claiming another narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
47.74% (0.168 0.17) 22.04% (0.158 0.16) 30.21% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 66.4% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (-0.971 -0.97)33.42% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.79% (-1.119 -1.12)55.21% (1.121 1.12)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.304 -0.3)14.55% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.589 -0.59)42.6% (0.592 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)22.29% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-1.014 -1.01)55.74% (1.015 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 47.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 30.21%
    Draw 22.04%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.087 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
20.0%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
67.5%
80
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-0
Frankfurt
Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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