Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle0 - 1Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Felix Nmecha scores the only goal of the match as Borussia Dortmund beat Newcastle United 1-0 in the Champions League at St James' Park
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
42.63% ( -0.24) | 23.1% ( 0.04) | 34.27% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 64.33% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.08% ( -0.17) | 36.92% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.1% ( 0.18) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( -0.17) | 17.82% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% ( -0.29) | 48.56% ( 0.29) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% ( 0.02) | 21.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( 0.04) | 54.88% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 42.63%
Borussia Dortmund 34.27%
Draw 23.1%
Newcastle United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 34.27% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Dortmund
Newcastle United
75.4%Draw
15.8%Borussia Dortmund
8.8%284
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:24:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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