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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
 
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
1 - 3
Wolfsburg

Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Wolfsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stuttgart take on Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga on Wednesday, with the visitors looking to bounce back after two successive defeats.

The home team, meanwhile, will move into the top half of the table if they can avoid defeat.


Match preview

Sasa Kalajdzic celebrates scoring for Stuttgart in February 2021© Reuters

Stuttgart's lingering hopes of qualifying for next season's Europa League were probably extinguished by their 2-1 defeat away to Union Berlin on Saturday.

The hosts were the more threatening side throughout the affair, particularly during the first half, when Urs Fischer's side managed to secure a two-goal cushion via two superb crosses from the marauding Christopher Trimmel, who found Grischa Promel and Petar Musa to both oblige with fairly routine finishes.

Having made changes at half time, Stuttgart looked capable of mounting a comeback after Sasa Kalajdzic's clever layoff helped Philipp Forster pull one back, but the Union Berlin defence, which Pellegrino Matarazzo had praised prior to the match, stood strong to hold out for victory.

However, while missing out on Europe may be a minor disappointment, a top-half finish would be a perfectly good achievement for Matarazzo and his players given that this is their first season back in the Bundesliga having only been promoted last season.

Wolfsburg coach Oliver Glasner pictured on February 14, 2021© Reuters

Wolfsburg, meanwhile, suffered back-to-back defeats for the first time this season after a narrow 3-2 loss at home to reigning champions Bayern Munich.

Jamal Musiala showed England's loss is Germany's gain by displaying dazzling feet before squeezing his strike past Koen Casteels at the near post, before Wolfsburg's goalkeeper made a real howler by dropping a routine cross right into the path Eric Choupo-Moting, who tapped into an empty net for his third goal in four matches.

A loose pass from Thomas Muller in midfield allowed Xaver Schlager to intercept and break in trademark fashion, with the midfielder finding Wout Weghorst, who stroked the ball into the far corner with a fine finish to provide some hope for his side.

Musiala restored Bayern's two-goal cushion with a superb header, but to their credit Wolfsburg made a real fist of a comeback, with Maximilian Philipp pulling a goal back from close range before substitute Jerome Roussillon wasted the Wolves' best chance of equalising, dragging his shot wide from a tight angle.

With their lead over fifth-placed Dortmund reduced to five points with five games remaining, Oliver Glasner's side may not be able to afford too many more slip-ups if they are to avoid a mostly magnificent campaign turning sour at the final stretch.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Silas Wamangituka in action for Stuttgart on January 2, 2021© Reuters

Stuttgart will remain without Silas Wamangituka for the foreseeable future after the winger sustained an ACL injury last month.

Nicolas Gonzalez is unlikely to return until the end of the month due to a thigh injury, with Wednesday's match against Wolfsburg also likely to come too soon for Lilian Egloff, Clinton Mola, Hamadi Al Ghaddioui and Orel Mangala to feature.

Former Arsenal defender Konstantinos Mavropanos is suspended having picked up his fifth booking of the season against Union Berlin, so Atakan Karazor is primed to drop into the back three, with captain Gonzalo Castro returning to the first XI.

Wolfsburg, meanwhile, have two suspensions of their own in Paulo Otavio and Kevin Mbabu after both full-backs picked up their fifth cautions of the season against Bayern.

Roussillon is a natural replacement for Otavio at left-back, but with no natural alternative to Mbabu, Ridle Baku may be utilised as an attacking right-back, with Josip Brekalo coming into the side higher up the pitch.

Joshua Guilavogui and Renato Steffen are both ruled out until at least early May with groin and ankle injuries respectively.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Karazor, Anton, Kempf; Stenzel, Castro, Endo, Coulibaly; Forster, Didavi; Kalajdzic

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Baku, Lacroix, Brooks, Roussillon; Schlager, Arnold; Brekalo, Gerhardt, Philipp; Weghorst


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg

While Wolfsburg may miss their first choice full-backs, we still expect them to have a little too much for a stuttering Stuttgart side.

Matarazzo's outfit have desperately missed the pace and power of Wamangituka, with an overeliance on target man Kalajdzic proving easier to defend against.

The Wolves will be highly motivated to bounce back from two successive defeats and ensure they get over the line in terms of qualifying for next season's Champions League.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
14.6%
Draw
22.9%
Wolfsburg
62.5%
48
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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