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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
30.01% ( -0.03) | 21.56% ( 0.64) | 48.43% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 68.13% ( -2.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.87% ( -3.24) | 31.12% ( 3.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.47% ( -3.93) | 52.53% ( 3.93) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -1.64) | 21.26% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% ( -2.61) | 54.17% ( 2.6) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -1.36) | 13.48% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.51% ( -2.79) | 40.49% ( 2.79) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.72) 2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.22) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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