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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
1 - 0
FC Koln

Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

The two teams played out a draw in the reverse match earlier this season, and we can see another stalemate here. It is always difficult to predict games straight after an international break, and we have had to sit on the fence somewhat, backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
35.23%25.28%39.49%
Both teams to score 56.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9%47.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66%69.34%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07%60.93%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39%23.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31%57.69%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 35.23%
    FC Koln 39.49%
    Draw 25.28%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
Draw
FC Koln
Union Berlin
45.2%
Draw
34.4%
FC Koln
20.4%
93
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
Nov 22, 2020 5pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')
Jun 13, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Cordoba (90+2')
Hector (44'), Skhiri (76'), Leistner (80')
Friedrich (39'), Gentner (67')
Dec 8, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30226287295872
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301810264352964
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30157858421652
4RB Leipzig301310748381049
5Freiburg30146104347-448
6Mainz 05Mainz30138948361247
7Borussia DortmundDortmund301361157471045
8Werder Bremen30136114854-645
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30135124846244
10Augsburg30111093340-743
11Stuttgart30118115650641
12Wolfsburg30109115347639
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14St Pauli3086162636-1030
15Hoffenheim3079143855-1730
16Heidenheim3064203260-2822
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320
18Holstein Kiel3047194171-3019


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