Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 1, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
FC Koln

Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 FC Koln

The two teams played out a draw in the reverse match earlier this season, and we can see another stalemate here. It is always difficult to predict games straight after an international break, and we have had to sit on the fence somewhat, backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
35.23%	25.28%	39.49%

Both teams to score 56.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9%

47.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66%

69.34%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07%

60.93%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39%

23.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31%

57.69%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 35.23%

FC Koln 39.49%

Draw 25.28%

Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.37% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.49%