Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Baumgartl (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have caused problems for Bayern Munich countless times in previous meetings, and we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet this weekend. However, the hosts will be fired up in a bid to turn their fortunes around and their elite attackers possess all the qualities required to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
82.78%	11.26%	5.95%

Both teams to score 48.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.74%

28.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.92%

49.07%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.01%

4.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.06%

19.93%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.25%

48.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.22%

83.77%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 82.78%

Union Berlin 5.95%

Draw 11.26%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
3-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.93% 4-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.29% 4-1 @ 5.89% 5-0 @ 4.92% 5-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.82% 6-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.12% 6-1 @ 1.77% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.87% Total : 82.78%	1-1 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 2.82% 0-0 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.26%	1-2 @ 1.88% 0-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.33% Total : 5.95%