Bochum will sense that they may have missed the perfect opportunity to face Union Berlin, who appear to have benefitted from making a change in management. However, the hosts have lost just one of their last nine league games at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion.
As such, we can envisage both teams settling for sharing the spoils, which may prove enough to keep both of them outside of the relegation zone depending on results elsewhere.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
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