MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 19:53:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum

Leverkusen have been ruthless at home, scoring plenty of goals and putting weaker sides to the sword, and this should be no exception, going into the winter break four points clear. Bochum have not scored a goal here since coming back up, and even if they were to break that duck, they are unlikely to be able to keep Leverkusen's fearsome attack quiet in what could be a long evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
81.38% (-0.182 -0.18) 11.75% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 6.87% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.48% (0.181 0.18)26.52% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.11% (0.23099999999999 0.23)46.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)4.9% (-0.0049000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.32% (0.461 0.46)44.68% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (0.368 0.37)80.68% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 81.38%
    VfL Bochum 6.87%
    Draw 11.75%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
7-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 81.38%
1-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 11.75%
1-2 @ 2.14% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 6.87%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
89.6%
Draw
4.2%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
48
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
VfL Bochum
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Forster (19'), Asano (34'), Stoger (86')
Stoger (21'), Forster (28'), Hofmann (72'), Osterhage (84'), Zoller (89')

Tapsoba (63'), Wirtz (67'), Alonso (68'), Bakker (69'), Diaby (71'), Palacios (89')
Adli (8')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-0
VfL Bochum
Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
B. Leverkusen
1-0
VfL Bochum
Adli (4')
Frimpong (30'), Diaby (49'), Adli (87')

Masovic (63'), Soares (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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