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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Schalke 04 |
44.99% ( 0.01) | 23.45% ( -0.03) | 31.56% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.38% ( 0.15) | 39.61% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.04% ( 0.16) | 61.96% ( -0.16) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0.06) | 17.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.22% ( 0.11) | 48.78% ( -0.11) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( 0.08) | 24.52% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% ( 0.12) | 58.99% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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