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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Koln logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 2
Fehervar

Dietz (14')
Baumgart (47'), Skhiri (68'), Hector (90+5')
Chabot (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zivzivadze (32'), Dardai (40')
Larsen (25'), Hangya (55'), Fiola (59'), Dardai (69'), Zivzivadze (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and Fehervar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Koln
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Fehervar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Petrocub 1-2 Fehervar
    Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: FC Koln 3-0 Fehervar

     Having already been eliminated in Germany's premier cup competition, FC Koln will be taking this tournament even more seriously. With that in mind, we expect a strong showing from the home side, one which may lead to the tie effectively being over before the reverse fixture in Hungary. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

    Result
    FC KolnDrawFehervar
    50.46% (0.146 0.15) 22.53% (0.026 0.03) 27% (-0.175 -0.18)
    Both teams to score 62.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    61.89% (-0.273 -0.27)38.1% (0.268 0.27)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    39.63% (-0.29 -0.29)60.37% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
    FC Koln Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    84.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)15.34% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    55.9% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)44.09% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
    Fehervar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.28% (-0.265 -0.27)26.72% (0.261 0.26)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.02% (-0.349 -0.35)61.98% (0.345 0.34)
    Score Analysis
        FC Koln 50.46%
        Fehervar 27%
        Draw 22.53%
    FC KolnDrawFehervar
    2-1 @ 9.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
    1-0 @ 7.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
    2-0 @ 7.2% (0.069 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-0 @ 4.5% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
    4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
    5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 3.93%
    Total : 50.46%
    		1-1 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
    2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
    0-0 @ 4.1% (0.052 0.05)
    3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.3%
    Total : 22.53%
    		1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
    0-1 @ 5.41% (0.03 0.03)
    0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
    0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
    2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.18%
    Total : 27%

    How you voted: FC Koln vs Fehervar

    FC Koln
    71.4%
    Draw
    0.0%
    Fehervar
    28.6%
    7
    rhs 2.0
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