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Milan logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Atletico Madrid logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Atletico

Leao (20')
Kessie (15'), Rebic (29'), Hernandez (69'), Saelemaekers (79')
Kessie (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Griezmann (84'), Suarez (90+7' pen.)
Kondogbia (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtletico Madrid
37.31%26.17%36.51%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09%50.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21%72.78%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.72%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 37.31%
    Atletico Madrid 36.51%
    Draw 26.17%
AC MilanDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.51%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atletico

AC Milan
54.6%
Draw
26.4%
Atletico Madrid
19.0%
368
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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