![Milan logo Milan logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/millog_1.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
![Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/atllog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
AC Milan1 - 2Atletico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
37.31% | 26.17% | 36.51% |
Both teams to score 53.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% | 50.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% | 72.78% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% | 26.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 37.31%
Atletico Madrid 36.51%
Draw 26.17%
AC Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.31% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.51% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Atletico
AC Milan
54.6%Draw
26.4%Atletico Madrid
19.0%368
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Round-Of-16
Atletico
4-1
AC Milan
Feb 19, 2014 7.45pm
Round-Of-16
AC Milan
0-1
Atletico
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 23:35:33
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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