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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Lazio logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
51.16%23.79%25.04%
Both teams to score 55.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16%17.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4%48.59%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35%68.65%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 51.16%
    Lazio 25.04%
    Draw 23.79%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 51.16%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.04%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
71.4%
Draw
13.8%
Lazio
14.8%
203
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 3, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Final
AC Milan
0-1
Lazio

Musacchio (70'), Bakayoko (79')
Correa (58')
Felipe (37'), Caicedo (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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