MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:26:03| >> :600:397319:397319:
Union Berlin logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Napoli logo

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Napoli


Trimmel (10'), Gosens (51'), Haberer (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raspadori (65')
Rrahmani (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Napoli

Union Berlin desperately need a positive result, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid another defeat here. Napoli are without their star player, but the Italian outfit are still full of quality, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to an important win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Union BerlinDrawNapoli
23.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.54% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)68.52%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)70.75% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.68% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 23.24%
    Napoli 53.21%
    Draw 23.54%
Union BerlinDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.24%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 53.21%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Napoli

Union Berlin
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Napoli
77.2%
184
rhs 2.0
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11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
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