Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.