Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 2Porto
The Match
Match Report
Porto come from behind to beat Benfica 2-1 and keep the Primeira Liga title race alive by cutting the gap at the top to seven points.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Porto |
51.93% ( 0.35) | 22.32% ( -0.11) | 25.75% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
