Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 19, 2022 at 6.45pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
3 - 0
Shamrock

(Ludogorets Razgrad win 4-2 on aggregate)

Soteriou (26', 35'), Thiago (90+4')
Cafumana (53'), Rick (57'), Cicinho (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gaffney (47'), Towell (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: Sutjeska Niksic 0-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernians 0-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	23	23	51
2	Derry City	23	18	43
3	Dundalk	23	16	42

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock must stay in the contest on Tuesday if they are to stand a chance of progressing to the next round of the competition. Ludogorets will fancy their chances of winning the first leg, but we are expecting it to be a close affair in Razgrad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
38.64% ( 0.02)	24.82% ( -0)	36.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.37% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

-0)

44.85% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

-0)

67.2% (

-0)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

0.01)

23.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

0.01)

56.85% (

-0.02)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.01)

24.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.02)

58.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 38.64%

Shamrock Rovers 36.53%

Draw 24.82%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.53%