Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli3 - 0Rangers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Napoli 2-0 Rangers
Facing a particularly daunting prospect at the Maradona, off-form Rangers are unlikely to earn their first point of the group stage this week. With no real need to go at full throttle, Napoli may step off the accelerator if they can establish another early lead; settling for a relatively routine win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Rangers |
48.58% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( -0.02) | 28.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
