Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli4 - 2Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Volendam 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Napoli 2-1 Ajax
Having now won eight times in a row for the first time in club history, Napoli's confidence could not be higher. However, Ajax still bear the scars from last week and will take care not to make the same mistakes again, so it could be a closer contest this time between two attractive sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Napoli win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Ajax |
38.25% ( -0.16) | 22.66% ( 0.01) | 39.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.73% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
