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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lorient logo

PSG
0 - 0
Lorient

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jeonbuk 0-3 PSG
Thursday, August 3 at 9am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lorient

Having tasted victory at Parc des Princes back in April, Lorient will fancy their chances of frustrating PSG once again, although very few teams record back-to-back wins against the perennial Ligue 1 champions. With that in mind, we expect Les Parisiens to exact revenge on Les Murles by securing a relatively straightforward victory in Enrique's first competitive match as PSG manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
66.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 18.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.91% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.31%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.22%
    Lorient 15.62%
    Draw 18.16%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 7.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.54%
4-0 @ 4.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 66.22%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 15.62%

How you voted: PSG vs Lorient

Paris Saint-Germain
76.1%
Draw
13.4%
Lorient
10.4%
67
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Lorient
Mbappe (29')
Le Fee (15'), Yongwa (39'), Dieng (88')
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Lorient
1-2
PSG
Moffi (53')
Neymar (9'), Pereira (81')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
5-1
Lorient
Neymar (12', 90'), Mbappe (28', 67'), Messi (73')
Gueye (53'), Kimpembe (57')
Moffi (56')
Kone (38')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lorient
1-1
PSG
Monconduit (40')
Ouattara (43')
Icardi (90+1')
Ramos (81'), Wijnaldum (85')
Ramos (86')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Lorient
3-2
PSG
Abergel (36'), Wissa (80'), Moffi (90+1')
Le Fee (12'), Monconduit (28'), Lemoine (71'), Abergel (90')
Neymar (45' pen., 58')
Pereira (2'), Paredes (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille6411157813
4Reims6321108211
5Lille6312117410
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes621310917
11Lyon6213812-47
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
15Toulouse612358-35
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne6114317-144
18Angers6024412-82


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