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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lorient logo

PSG
0 - 0
Lorient

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jeonbuk 0-3 PSG
Thursday, August 3 at 9am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lorient

Having tasted victory at Parc des Princes back in April, Lorient will fancy their chances of frustrating PSG once again, although very few teams record back-to-back wins against the perennial Ligue 1 champions. With that in mind, we expect Les Parisiens to exact revenge on Les Murles by securing a relatively straightforward victory in Enrique's first competitive match as PSG manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
66.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 18.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.91% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.31%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.22%
    Lorient 15.62%
    Draw 18.16%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 7.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.54%
4-0 @ 4.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 66.22%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 15.62%

How you voted: PSG vs Lorient

Paris Saint-Germain
76.1%
Draw
13.4%
Lorient
10.4%
67
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Lorient
Mbappe (29')
Le Fee (15'), Yongwa (39'), Dieng (88')
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Lorient
1-2
PSG
Moffi (53')
Neymar (9'), Pereira (81')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
5-1
Lorient
Neymar (12', 90'), Mbappe (28', 67'), Messi (73')
Gueye (53'), Kimpembe (57')
Moffi (56')
Kone (38')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lorient
1-1
PSG
Monconduit (40')
Ouattara (43')
Icardi (90+1')
Ramos (81'), Wijnaldum (85')
Ramos (86')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Lorient
3-2
PSG
Abergel (36'), Wissa (80'), Moffi (90+1')
Le Fee (12'), Monconduit (28'), Lemoine (71'), Abergel (90')
Neymar (45' pen., 58')
Pereira (2'), Paredes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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