Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
66.22% ( 0.01) | 18.16% ( -0) | 15.62% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.08% ( -0.01) | 32.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.37% ( -0.01) | 54.62% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% ( 0) | 9.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.68% ( 0) | 31.31% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.94% ( -0.01) | 34.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.25% ( -0.02) | 70.74% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.54% 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.84% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.16% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |