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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina logo

Napoli
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Napoli 2-2 Fiorentina

With both teams scoring freely at the moment, goals are surely guaranteed at Stadio Maradona on Sunday evening. Napoli can certainly expect to capitalise on Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities, but they may not be able to keep the back door fastened shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
44.93% (-1.916 -1.92) 23.29% (0.219 0.22) 31.78% (1.696 1.7)
Both teams to score 62.61% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (-0.21 -0.21)38.77% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.222 -0.22)61.07% (0.221 0.22)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)17.64% (0.825 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (-1.451 -1.45)48.24% (1.449 1.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.92800000000001 0.93)23.98% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (1.308 1.31)58.22% (-1.309 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 44.93%
    Fiorentina 31.78%
    Draw 23.28%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.269 0.27)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.219 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Napoli
Draw
Fiorentina
Napoli
74.2%
Draw
21.0%
Fiorentina
4.8%
62
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
Jan 13, 2022 5pm
Final
Napoli
2-5
Fiorentina
Mertens (44'), Petagna (90+5')
Rrahmani (56'), Fabian (77'), Tuanzebe (85')
Lozano (84'), Fabian (90+3')
Vlahovic (41'), Biraghi (57'), Venuti (105+1'), Piatek (108'), Maleh (119')
Duncan (23'), Castrovilli (59')
Dragowski (45+2')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
1-2
Napoli
Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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