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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Barnsley

Fulham
4 - 1
Barnsley

Mitrovic (24'), Carvalho (34'), Kebano (72'), Wilson (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Adeboyejo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Fulham and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Fulham head into Saturday's fixture with Barnsley looking to extend their winning streak in the Championship to seven matches. Meanwhile, the Tykes, who will not have new boss Poya Asbaghi in charge until next week, are eager to reduce the deficit to safety with an unlikely result at Craven Cottage.

Match preview

Throughout September, Marco Silva must have wondered what had happened to his Fulham side with just two wins coming from six outings in all competitions. However, the Portuguese has certainly rediscovered the right formula, the Cottagers claiming a maximum 18 points from six games and scoring 21 goals in the process. Aleksandar Mitrovic netted 10 of those strikes, taking his tally for the season to a remarkable 20 from 17 appearances. Fulham are also on a run of five successive clean sheets, arguably the most important trait as they bid to remain at least six points clear of rivals West Bromwich Albion. While Fulham have collected the fourth-most points during home games this campaign, they have played one match fewer than the clubs who have claimed more points. At the start of the month, Barnsley finally made the inevitable decision to part ways with Markus Schopp, who had delivered just one win all season. Caretaker boss Joseph Laumann has since delivered three points from important matches against Derby County and Hull City, an acceptable return in the circumstances. Nevertheless, club officials have since handed the reins to Sweden Under-21s boss Asbaghi, who will take a watching brief as Laumann takes his place in the dugout for the final time. Barnsley head into the contest with the second-worst away record in the division having failed to win any of their eight matches on the road.
Fulham Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
Barnsley Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Team News

Fulham will be forced into at least one alteration after Denis Odoi collected his fifth yellow card of the campaign against Peterborough United. Providing that all of the international players returned unscathed, Silva may be prepared to stick with the rest of his starting lineup from that day. Tom Cairney is an alternative to Jean Michael Seri in the middle of the pitch, but Tosin Adarabioyo remains suspended. While there is uncertainty over how Barnsley may line up for this contest, Callum Styles and Victor Adeboyejo will both expected to be recalled to the team. Romal Palmer could also get the nod over Claudio Gomes in midfield. Fulham possible starting lineup: Rodak; Tete, Hector, Ream, Robinson; Seri, Reed; Wilson, Decordova-Reid, Kebano; Mitrovic Barnsley possible starting lineup: Collins; Andersen, Helik, Kitching; Brittain, Styles, Benson, Williams; Adeboyejo, Woodrow, Iseka

We said: Fulham 2-0 Barnsley

With a new head coach to impress, it would come as no surprise if Barnsley put in a strong performance in the capital. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Fulham, who we expect to record a win and clean sheet versus the Tykes.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawBarnsley
61.1%23.25%15.66%
Both teams to score 43.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03%54.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75%76.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09%82.91%
Score Analysis
    Fulham 61.08%
    Barnsley 15.66%
    Draw 23.25%
FulhamDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 14.56%
2-0 @ 12.62%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 5.42%
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.02%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 61.08%
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Fulham vs Barnsley

Fulham
86.8%
Draw
8.8%
Barnsley
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Barnsley
1-0
Fulham
Thomas (13')
Mowatt (44'), Diaby (54'), Wilks (90')
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
1-3
Fulham
Lindsay (31')
Hammill (36'), Cavare (40'), Lindsay (56')
Cavare (45')
Sessegnon (49', 90'), McDonald (90')
Bettinelli (32'), Johansen (45')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Fulham
2-1
Barnsley
Ayite (54'), Ojo (72')
Ojo (28')
Bradshaw (68')
Yiadom (4'), Gardner (14')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Fulham
2-0
Barnsley
Martin (45' pen.), Malone (55')

White (53'), Watkins (73')
rhs 2.0
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FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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