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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Birmingham City |
69.86% | 18.54% | 11.6% |
Both teams to score 46.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.57% | 44.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.2% | 66.8% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% | 11.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.56% | 36.44% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.64% | 47.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.24% | 82.76% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-0 @ 12.74% 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.85% | 1-1 @ 8.82% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 4.08% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.7% Total : 11.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |