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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
43.89% ( -0.32) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.42% ( 0.07) | 56.58% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.44% ( 0.05) | 77.56% ( -0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( -0.13) | 25.6% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% ( -0.18) | 60.49% ( 0.19) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( 0.27) | 34.9% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( 0.29) | 71.64% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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