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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 2
Millwall

Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 3-1 Millwall

Swansea and Millwall head into the game off the back of impressive victories and will both be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, it is worth noting that the Swans are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 games against the Lions. With that said, we are backing Swansea City to extend this fine record in front of their home fans and come away with a decisive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 27.37% (0.004999999999999 0) 34.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.04% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.29%
    Millwall 34.33%
    Draw 27.36%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
19.0%
Millwall
15.2%
79
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
0-0
Millwall

Bennett (37'), Downes (83')

Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
Millwall
0-3
Swansea
Ayew (45+1'), Lowe (76', 85')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Millwall
Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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