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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Sunderland

Derby
0 - 1
Sunderland


Harness (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayenda (28')
Bellingham (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Sunderland

Sunderland will be desperate to return to winning ways on Tuesday to boost their promotion charge, and we are expecting the Black Cats to be too strong for a Derby outfit that are fighting to stay out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
37.72% (0.105 0.11) 27.17% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08) 35.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.3 0.3)55.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.246 0.25)76.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.20299999999999 0.2)28.27% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.258 0.26)63.99% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.12899999999999 0.13)29.85% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (0.156 0.16)65.94% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.72%
    Sunderland 35.11%
    Draw 27.16%
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: Derby vs Sunderland

Derby County
23.1%
Draw
9.0%
Sunderland
67.9%
78
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
2-0
Derby
Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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