MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 06:30:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Sunderland

Derby
0 - 1
Sunderland


Harness (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayenda (28')
Bellingham (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Sunderland

Sunderland will be desperate to return to winning ways on Tuesday to boost their promotion charge, and we are expecting the Black Cats to be too strong for a Derby outfit that are fighting to stay out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
37.72% (0.105 0.11) 27.17% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08) 35.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.3 0.3)55.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.246 0.25)76.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.20299999999999 0.2)28.27% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.258 0.26)63.99% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.12899999999999 0.13)29.85% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (0.156 0.16)65.94% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.72%
    Sunderland 35.11%
    Draw 27.16%
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: Derby vs Sunderland

Derby County
23.1%
Draw
9.0%
Sunderland
67.9%
78
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
2-0
Derby
Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
8pm
Washington
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Bills
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!