MX23RW : Friday, January 10 07:19:49| >> :120:22903:22903:
Sunderland
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
vs.
Stoke

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Sunderland 1-0 Stoke City

Stoke have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, but we think that they may struggle to avoid defeat against a Sunderland side that has won four of their last five matches at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw has a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (6.94%).

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
52.67% (0.146 0.15) 24.33% (-0.032 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (0.059000000000012 0.06)18.86% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (0.1 0.1)50.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)36.27% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.106 -0.11)73.05% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.67%
    Stoke City 22.99%
    Draw 24.33%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.99%

Who will win Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Stoke?

Sunderland
Stoke City
Sunderland
0.0%
Stoke City
100%
1
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stoke
1-0
Sunderland
Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!