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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
3 - 2
Norwich

Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Norwich City

 Watford were arguably too passive against league leaders Leicester on the weekend, and the home supporters at Vicarage Road will be demanding their men come out of the blocks quickly against Norwich. The Canaries were unconvincing during their victory over strugglers QPR on Saturday, and we cannot imagine Wagner recording three successive wins considering the current mood in East Anglia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
54.67% (0.522 0.52) 22.29% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.04% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (0.897 0.9)40.84% (-0.89899999999999 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76% (0.90900000000001 0.91)63.23% (-0.911 -0.91)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.485 0.48)14.9% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.919 0.92)43.26% (-0.921 -0.92)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.267 0.27)31.27% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.309 0.31)67.62% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Watford 54.67%
    Norwich City 23.04%
    Draw 22.29%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.071 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
56.5%
Draw
10.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
46
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> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
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> Preview
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
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> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
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Pukki (35')
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Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
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> Match Report
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 43
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> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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