Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Watford 2-1 Norwich City
Watford were arguably too passive against league leaders Leicester on the weekend, and the home supporters at Vicarage Road will be demanding their men come out of the blocks quickly against Norwich. The Canaries were unconvincing during their victory over strugglers QPR on Saturday, and we cannot imagine Wagner recording three successive wins considering the current mood in East Anglia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
54.67% ( 0.52) | 22.29% ( -0.26) | 23.04% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
