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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
3 - 2
Norwich

Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Norwich City

 Watford were arguably too passive against league leaders Leicester on the weekend, and the home supporters at Vicarage Road will be demanding their men come out of the blocks quickly against Norwich. The Canaries were unconvincing during their victory over strugglers QPR on Saturday, and we cannot imagine Wagner recording three successive wins considering the current mood in East Anglia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
54.67% (0.522 0.52) 22.29% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.04% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (0.897 0.9)40.84% (-0.89899999999999 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76% (0.90900000000001 0.91)63.23% (-0.911 -0.91)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.485 0.48)14.9% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.919 0.92)43.26% (-0.921 -0.92)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.267 0.27)31.27% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.309 0.31)67.62% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Watford 54.67%
    Norwich City 23.04%
    Draw 22.29%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.071 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
56.5%
Draw
10.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
46
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> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
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> Preview
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Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
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> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
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Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
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> Match Report
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 43
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> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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