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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Bristol City

Leeds
2 - 1
Bristol City

James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Bristol City

 Bristol City have impressed so far this season and will travel to Elland Road with confidence knowing they have the ability to cause problems for any side in the Championship, but we anticipate the Whites being slightly too strong in front of an Elland Road crowd and back them to narrowly come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
50.21% (0.831 0.83) 25.1% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.69% (-0.775 -0.78)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.389 -0.39)51.34% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (-0.34 -0.34)73.16% (0.343 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.191 0.19)20.46% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.302 0.3)52.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.876 -0.88)35.58% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.916 -0.92)72.35% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.21%
    Bristol City 24.69%
    Draw 25.09%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Leeds vs Bristol City

Leeds United
65.4%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-0
Bristol City
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
Leeds
2-2
Bristol City
Lasogga (72'), Roofe (80')
Pennington (44'), Phillips (75')
Diedhiou (11'), Reid (16')
Wright (55'), Brownhill (79'), Pack (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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