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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Middlesbrough

With Plymouth having impressed at home, they will back themselves to get the better of their opponents who may be fatigued. Nevertheless, we feel that Boro's superior quality will ultimately shine through, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.89% (-0.087 -0.09) 56.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (0.434 0.43)35.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (0.482 0.48)57.29% (-0.486 -0.49)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)28.9% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.322 0.32)64.77% (-0.327 -0.33)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.15599999999999 0.16)12.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.334 0.33)38.16% (-0.338 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.17%
    Middlesbrough 56.93%
    Draw 20.89%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.17%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.93%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
45.5%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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