Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham0 - 1Watford
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Watford
Birmingham's performance against Middlesbrough was highly concerning, but we reckon that a change of style could help Blues towards earning a result on Saturday. Watford will be hoping for a new manager bounce in the Second City, but we feel that Cleverley will have to wait for his maiden victory as a manager. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
32.47% ( -0.03) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 41.38% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
