Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dennis (44')
Chakvetadze (68'), Asprilla (88'), Bachmann (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Watford

Birmingham's performance against Middlesbrough was highly concerning, but we reckon that a change of style could help Blues towards earning a result on Saturday. Watford will be hoping for a new manager bounce in the Second City, but we feel that Cleverley will have to wait for his maiden victory as a manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
32.47% ( -0.03)	26.14% ( 0.01)	41.38% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61% (

-0.03)

51.39% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

-0.03)

73.2% (

0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

-0.04)

29.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

-0.05)

65.77% (

0.05)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45%

24.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97%

59.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.47%

Watford 41.38%

Draw 26.14%

Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.47%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.38%